Rankings 1-7
After coming away with all this information the goal for the future big boards now is safety. I want to be able to say in five years that at least 80 percent of the top 15-25 players depending on the drafts depth end up being rotation players.
My rankings from one to seven can be broken up into two tiers. The first tier is Luka Doncic and DeAndre Ayton. Both are viewed in my opinion as player’s that will be at the worst long time starters in the NBA.
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Both are viewed as having the highest floors or least chance to bust, along with potential to grow from that floor. Ayton probably has more potential than Doncic, but Luka has been a proven player against such high level competition by now that I can’t envision him not being a starter in any scenario pending injury.
The second tier is much larger it is grouped into players 3-7 most of these guys are players with still relatively low floors (really good rotation players) along with potential to grow into really good starters, and maybe even all stars.
The two exceptions to that are Michael Porter Jr. and Marvin Bagley. Michael Porter is the wild card until some kind of medical history is released from his doctors or at the combine.
Bagley is the highest ranked in this tier because he is the most likely to eventually become a high level starter in the NBA. He probably could also be put into the first tier. However, even though I am fairly confident with Bagley’s motor and athleticism he will translate into constant NBA production. He’s not quite as certain as Doncic and Ayton.
Prospects also ranked in this tier include Jaren Jackson Jr., Mohamed Bamba, and Trae Young are all viewed as players that bring immediate assets to a team. Jaren Jackson and Bamba are both looked at as rim protectors, and it’s hard to see Trae Young not being at least a backup point guard with his incredible shooting and playmaking.
All three of these prospects are good rotation players in the worst case scenario, but all three have potential to become starters as well. If Bamba puts on weight, Jaren Jackson shoots more consistently from outside, and Trae Young figures out how to consistently get to the rim against NBA athletes, they all could end up being really good starters with maybe some fringe all star appearances.